As a highly volatile week draws to a close, the price action so far today reflects a relative sense of calm and suggests that stocks are going to finish the... read more →
The VIX Index, often referred to as “fear gauge”, is a market-based measure of expected volatility for the S&P 500 Index. Before the US stock market open this morning, the... read more →
In the strange world of navigating financial markets, sometimes good news can be bad, and bad news can be good. This was the case earlier in the year when inflation... read more →
So, the Federal Reserve decided to not cut interest rates at the meeting yesterday. We think they could have, but Jerome Powell thought it was better to wait for more... read more →
Data released this morning provided fresh evidence that the labor market is softening. First, the ADP national employment report estimated that 122k private jobs were created during the month of... read more →
As of yesterday’s market close, the Russell 2000 Index, a broad and widely followed gauge of small capitalization stocks, has gained more than 1% daily for the past five consecutive... read more →
Yesterday brought the latest read on inflation with the Consumer Price Index (CPI), and the news was very encouraging across the board. Headline CPI fell month over month for the... read more →
Second half returns tend to be stronger when the first half of the year is strong. Maybe not the most intuitive study of market behavior as I assume most investors... read more →
We have written at length in the past about the yield curve’s historically reliable track record of predicting recessions. Yield curve inversions preceded all of the 8 recessions that the... read more →
As we approach the mid-way point of the year, we should take a moment to look back and appreciate how far the stock market has come in the first half.... read more →