Yesterday afternoon big risk rally was a pleasant break. The market came into Powell’s press conference oversold, looking for a reason to go higher. Powell’s somewhat dovish comments just enough to perk... read more →
In March 2009, US unemployment rate was around 10%, the global credit markets were completely frozen, high yield bond defaults were around 11% of the HY market (record default ratio),... read more →
We are entering the busiest days of 1Q reporting season for companies in the S&P 500 index. While only 212 companies have reported results over the last couple of weeks,... read more →
At the beginning of April, the 10-2 year yield curve briefly inverted, creating widespread hysteria in the financial media. However, despite what you may have been hearing or reading, an... read more →
Market Last week’s AAII Bull/Bear reading of just 15.8 was the LOWEST reading since 1992. Bears greatly outnumber Bulls. A lower reading than the darkest days of 2008-2009. Lower than when we... read more →
Earnings reporting season for Q1 2022 is about to kick off. As usual, the first week will be dominated by financial heavyweights such as J.P. Morgan, Bank of America, Wells... read more →
Markets haven’t experienced higher inflation and higher yields in a really long time, but that’s the world we find ourselves in right now. The Fed and the Market seemed to... read more →
The NDR Crowd Sentiment poll below measures market based and survey-based sentiment indicators to gauge if investors are optimistic or pessimistic. As mentioned, a few times over the last month... read more →
At about 1:32 PM EST on Tuesday, the widely-followed spread between 10-year and 2-year treasury yields (a.k.a. the yield curve) briefly fell to -0.002%, thus inverting (even if barely) for... read more →
2022 is certainly off to an inauspicious start. Spring hasn’t even fully sprung yet investors’ nerves are already frayed thanks to a hawkish Fed pivot, the highest inflation in decades,... read more →
